Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 1.698683e-03 0.001885 0.002072 0.002274 0.002486 0.002701 0.002935
2024-12-22 1.391361e-03 0.001657 0.001934 0.002241 0.002572 0.002915 0.003297
2024-12-29 1.188046e-03 0.001516 0.001867 0.002269 0.002709 0.003176 0.003702
2025-01-05 1.026747e-03 0.001403 0.001820 0.002307 0.002852 0.003437 0.004108
2025-01-12 9.013797e-04 0.001319 0.001794 0.002361 0.003008 0.003711 0.004526
2025-01-19 7.334943e-04 0.001168 0.001680 0.002307 0.003034 0.003837 0.004778
2025-01-26 6.135935e-04 0.001063 0.001612 0.002297 0.003106 0.004010 0.005078
2025-02-02 5.099367e-04 0.000968 0.001546 0.002285 0.003170 0.004170 0.005363
2025-02-09 4.683254e-04 0.000950 0.001574 0.002382 0.003360 0.004474 0.005808
2025-02-16 3.958195e-04 0.000882 0.001531 0.002390 0.003442 0.004650 0.006108
2025-02-23 3.023252e-04 0.000771 0.001425 0.002313 0.003417 0.004700 0.006259
2025-03-02 2.293553e-04 0.000679 0.001338 0.002254 0.003411 0.004766 0.006427
2025-03-09 1.711763e-04 0.000614 0.001301 0.002280 0.003538 0.005027 0.006864
2025-03-16 1.111335e-04 0.000530 0.001230 0.002260 0.003609 0.005224 0.007232
2025-03-23 7.426235e-05 0.000478 0.001201 0.002296 0.003750 0.005508 0.007708
2025-03-30 4.678554e-05 0.000433 0.001180 0.002341 0.003903 0.005806 0.008202
2025-04-06 2.792772e-05 0.000399 0.001171 0.002400 0.004074 0.006128 0.008726
2025-04-13 7.357448e-06 0.000326 0.001088 0.002348 0.004098 0.006268 0.009032
2025-04-20 4.534063e-07 0.000277 0.001037 0.002340 0.004176 0.006474 0.009416
2025-04-27 NaN 0.000232 0.000988 0.002329 0.004248 0.006670 0.009788
2025-05-04 NaN 0.000224 0.001011 0.002428 0.004468 0.007052 0.010385
2025-05-11 NaN 0.000192 0.000977 0.002436 0.004564 0.007276 0.010790
2025-05-18 NaN 0.000142 0.000893 0.002359 0.004539 0.007345 0.011004